Comments on: Top 10 Internet Law Developments of 2016 https://blog.ericgoldman.org/archives/2017/01/top-10-internet-law-developments-of-2016.htm Mon, 16 Jan 2017 00:18:20 +0000 hourly 1 By: Law and Media Round Up – 16 January 2017 | Inforrm's Blog https://blog.ericgoldman.org/archives/2017/01/top-10-internet-law-developments-of-2016.htm#comment-1755 Mon, 16 Jan 2017 00:18:20 +0000 http://blog.ericgoldman.org/?p=16797#comment-1755 […] Top 10 Internet Law Developments of 2016 from the Technology & Marketing Law Blog. […]

]]> By: AFK https://blog.ericgoldman.org/archives/2017/01/top-10-internet-law-developments-of-2016.htm#comment-1752 Wed, 11 Jan 2017 14:19:00 +0000 http://blog.ericgoldman.org/?p=16797#comment-1752 #5: Polling Failures. Big data and smart analytics are two stalwarts of the 21st century, but even golden boy Nate Silver failed us this time.

I’d disagree with this.

538 gave Trump the highest win probability of any outlet, and named as strong possibilities the circumstances (mostly an average-sized polling error in his favor) and states that would slide into his column if he were to win.

They also pointed out week after week that your average presidential polling errors are about 2 points. And that’s close to exactly the polling error that we saw – just in a different direction than in 2012.

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